The
Planets Are Aligning for Commercial Remote Sensing
For
the past decade, market researchers, industry gurus, and
business consultants have been analyzing the nascent commercial
remote sensing industry and attempting to project its growth
potential. Considering their success, I thought I would try
something a little more scientific-I don't believe astrology has
been used as a method of prognostication in this industry, but
hey, it worked for Ronald Reagan.
Since
2003 has come to an end and the New Year is looming, it's a good
time to chart the planets for the remote sensing industry and
possibly provide some insights to what the future holds. The
horoscope shows Jupiter, Mars, and Mercury, which have key
political, industrial, and economic influences, will have
profound impact-charting these planets' alignment portends a
very favorable future for the commercial remote sensing
industry.
Jupiter,
the largest and most influential of the planets, is represented
by the U.S. Government, which has thrown its mass behind the
commercial remote sensing industry by virtue of the U.S.
Commercial Remote Sensing Space Policy. On April 25, 2003,
President Bush authorized the new national policy that
establishes guidance and implementation actions for commercial
remote sensing space capabilities.
The
U.S. Commercial Remote Sensing Space Policy assigns the
Departments of Commerce, Interior, and the National Aeronautics
and Space Administration (NASA), to determine which civil needs
can be met by commercial remote sensing space capabilities; and
communicate current and projected needs to the commercial remote
sensing space industry. The Policy also states that civil
agencies shall outsource functions to enable the U.S. Government
to rely on commercial remote sensing space capabilities for
filling civil imagery and geospatial needs. Agencies are
directed to allocate resources to implement these objectives
within the overall policy and available funding. Civil agencies
may acquire remote sensing products and services directly from
commercial providers, through cooperative arrangements with
other civil agencies, or through the agency formerly known as
NIMA, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA).
The
U.S. Commercial Remote Sensing Industry Conference, organized by
the Strategic Research Institute held December 1-2 in
Washington, D.C., provided a first-hand perspective of the
potential ramifications of the Policy. The various sessions
dealt with policy, technical issues, and applications as they
relate to the dissemination of remote sensing throughout the
federal government.
I
was very pleased to see that aerial remote sensing was given
equal billing. One issue I would have with the Policy is the
frequent reference to "Space" in U.S. Commercial
Remote Sensing Space Policy, which could be construed that only
the "Space" companies will be the beneficiaries of the
Policy. But, the conference and its participants made it quite
clear-without actually stipulating-that aerial remote sensing is
clearly a major if not primary component of the commercial
remote sensing industry-and a rising tide raises all ships.
The
panel with the three leaders of the high resolution satellite
companies, Gene Colabatistto, president, Space Imaging LLC;
Matthew O'Connell, CEO, Orbimage; and Herb Satterlee, CEO,
DigitalGlobe provided some valuable insight aside from it being
a veritable love fest. All three proclaimed to be cooperating
with each other on such projects as ClearView, as well as
cooperating with the aerial/mapping firms, and government
agencies on various projects. Certainly cooperation is a good
thing. However, lest we are deluded by mutual admiration rest
assured these companies are arch competitors and they fight for
every pixel and every dollar of every remote sensing project out
there-commercial or not.
For
this session at least, the three leaders were in total accord.
They believe the commercial remote sensing market will grow
slowly-with domestic and international military and intelligence
business generating the great majority of their revenue. They
agreed that it is not prudent to compete against the 1,500, or
so, companies providing aerial mapping/ remote sensing services,
and since these firms are less wary of satellite companies,
there will be much more partnering between the two groups. They
all agreed that it will take time for federal agencies to take
advantage of the Policy.
Rather
than looking at other assets in space to respond to potential
commercial opportunities, the satellite companies intend to
strive for greater utilization of their existing assets. None
are anywhere near capacity in their collection capabilities, and
they intend to promote the use and applications of their
multi-spectral data from existing satellites which holds
tremendous up-side potential and higher profit margins for
value-added services.
The
panel on "The Implementation of Commercial Satellite and
Aerial Data from Leading Federal Agencies" was very
enlightening by way of USDA, BLM, and Transportation representatives espousing the considerable benefits of other
sensor types and platforms. For instance, a number of speakers
mentioned great interest in the new digital mapping sensors now
available from Leica, Z/I Imaging, and Vexcel-as well as LiDAR
and IFSAR instruments and services.
Mars,
the planet of war, naturally represents the Department of
Defense, which has been rising in the remote sensing house and
will dominate this chart for the foreseeable future. The
progression of defense spending has been gradual but is
beginning to bear fruit. In
the mid 1990s, the satellite companies were thrilled with
million dollar contracts, with ClearView they are receiving tens
of millions of dollars and with NextView they are looking at
hundreds of millions of dollars.
The
final planet to influence the remote sensing industry is also
the smallest, yet will be instrumental to the success of the
Commercial Remote Sensing Policy. Mercury, the Roman god of
commerce, messenger to the other gods, is the bearer of messages
and news. Mercury will deliver its message of the virtues of
remote sensing into areas where it never has before as the dark,
hidden recesses of the federal government are being pried open
by the Policy.
Communication
is a fundamental element of the Policy according to R.J.
Thompson, Federal Implementation Chief, EROS Data Center, U.S.
Geological Survey. "Those who are the leads, USGS, NASA,
and Commerce, must compile and communicate what we are doing-how
we are using the technology, and, also communicate to the
industry what we need in terms of remote sensing products and
services. We need to report how successful we are in
implementing the technology and improve communication with the
agencies and the industry stakeholders." Thompson stated
during his presentation focused on civil agency implementation
of the Commercial Remote Sensing Policy, "What we are
saying to the civil agencies, is ... embrace this with open
arms."
This
represents not only a shift in the planets, but something that
seemed even more immovable. It signifies a major shift in
perspectives in this industry. The remote sensing industry used
to be technology driven, "If we build it they will
come." Now, the various stakeholders recognize the hurdles
the industry faces are not technological but communication and
education.
As
the planets shift their alignment, so EOM has been pulled by
gravitational force into GITC America's orbit to become part of
the major communication and marketing resource in the geomatics
universe.
GITC
America acquired Earth Observation Magazine in the spring of
2003 and also publishes Professional Surveyor Magazine and the
GIS Monitor E-Newsletter, providing the geospatial industry with
end-to-end marketing and communications services-from print
magazines, direct mail, Web services, to electronic and email
distribution. In conjunction with The Netherlands-based GITC bv
which publishes GIM International, Hydro International,
Geomatics World (UK), Geomedia (Italy), ISPRS Highlights, among
others, GITC has become the only true multi-channel,
multi-discipline information source in the remote sensing,
geospatial, mapping, and surveying fields reaching more than
120,000 geomatics professionals.
At
EOM we have been working closely with NASA's Earth Science
Enterprise, which has been on the forefront in promoting the
benefits of remote sensing to other federal government agencies.
As a result, we have developed a list of government agencies and
departments as well as leading individuals within those
organizations who can benefit from remote sensing and they have
been added to the Earth Observation Magazine readership list.
About half of EOM's 20,000 distribution is targeted to U.S.
Government agencies, such as: Interior, Commerce, NASA,
Agriculture, EPA, Homeland Security, State, Energy, NOAA,
Housing and Urban Development, Justice, Transportation, and
Defense.
As
the planets perform their galactic dance, and the remote sensing
industry pursues the inexorable march towards commercialization,
EOM will be there, carrying out its Mercurial duties as
messenger for the remote sensing industry.
Until
next time...Cheers!